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下面附上一則新聞讓大家了解時事
鉅亨台北資料中心
◆盤勢分析
美國股市昨天的一根長黑,不但吃掉前天的長紅,而且形成兩長黑夾一紅的不利多頭走勢。純粹就技術面而言,道瓊指數近期每每出現長紅或長黑的走勢,顯示正在進行震盪做頭的走勢,而且就日K線觀察,三尊頭形態已經幾乎確定成立,接下來的兩個交易日,應以一小黑一長黑的可能性最高,而一旦出現這種走勢,波段跌勢就確立,屆時就必須注意,國際股市的回檔,對台灣股市形成的壓力。
現在全台灣的投資人,都把注意力集中在小英總統的就職演說,也就是集中在小英總統究竟會不會承認九二共識。雖然市場公認,小英總統不會承認九二共識,但是大家對於中國大陸會做出怎麼樣的反應,卻不是很有把握。由於中國大陸的反應,對於台灣股市未來的趨勢方向,具有絕對的影響力。在這麼重大的不確定因素之前,台灣股市的觀望氣氛當然極為濃厚,這就是近日大盤無論怎麼震盪,就是沒有成交值的最主要原因。但也因為大家都在等著看520之後的變化,在市場氣氛和成交值都極度壓縮的情況下,520後,大盤必定會出現極端式的波段走勢,也就是噴出或崩跌走勢。
今天台股逆勢收紅,外資拉高平倉台指期,和本土資金進場護盤,應該是主要原因。按照這個情況看來,520前夕,本土資金沒有放棄護盤的可能,因此,明天大盤應該還是以狹幅盤整收小紅或小黑的可能性最高。由於520後的變化極大,因此,明天我們還是以觀望為原則。
李永年 分析師介紹
★ 此研究報告著作權屬華信證券投資顧問(股)公司,切勿盜用或翻印,否則追究責任,決不寬貸
★ 所有資料僅供參考,本公司不負盈虧責任
推薦獨家
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